Shoplift This Trading Strategy

Why Kroger knows the next market move before Wall Street does

There’s a moment in every trader’s life where you realize the market isn’t a temple or a casino or a chess match.

It’s a grocery store.

And right now the market, is the befuddled old retiree, standing at the checkout line trying to decide where to go.

Is this the Express Lane, where everything moves fast until it suddenly doesn’t?

Is it the Regular Lane, where you commit to waiting behind someone with 93 items and a coupon book from the Clinton administration?

Or is it Self-Checkout, where you think you’re in control until the machine screams “UNEXPECTED ITEM IN THE BAGGING AREA” and demands a manager override?

That’s exactly where the macro ratios are today.
All the lanes are open.
None of them have scanned yet.

So instead of grabbing the wrong thing off the shelf, let’s talk about the strategy you can quietly walk out of the store with.

The Strategy You Can Literally Shoplift

(And Berkshire Hathaway does daily since they are a big shareholder of Krogers)

It starts with three ratio charts:

KR / Gold
KR / TLT
KR / SPY

You don’t need a quant degree.
You don’t need to speed-read FOMC transcripts.
You don’t even need to know Kroger sells groceries.

Here’s the whole strategy:

Wait until the ratio hits support or resistance.
Then act.
Nothing in between.

That’s it.

KR/Gold breaks lower?
Inflation wave.
Load commodities.

KR/TLT breaks lower?
Bonds bottom.
Load duration (interest rates + time).

KR/SPY bounces off support?
Equities topping.
Rotate into defensives (safe names).

KR/SPY breaks support?
AI Mania Part III.
Put on your flame suit.

The strategy is so simple it feels illegal.
Suspicious, even.
Like you should glance around to see if security is watching.

But that’s how you know it works.

Right now all three ratios are sitting at their inflection points.

KR/Gold is on 40-year support.
KR/TLT is on its three-year uptrend.
KR/SPY is sitting on a 25-year regime line that has triggered recessions, rotations, and volatility spikes.

This is the moment professionals wait for.
This is where patience becomes an actual trading edge.

Nothing to do until clarity.
Nothing to force.
Nothing to guess.

Just watch the line.
Wait for the scan.
And act when the beep happens.

And Yes — I’ll Even Give You the Hack

If you want to build the charts yourself for free, here’s the secret:

Go to TradingView.com.
Type in:

KR / GLD
KR / TLT
KR / SPY

Boom.
You’ve shoplifted the raw ingredients.

But the chart isn’t the value.
The nuance, the timing, the experience — that’s the part you’re actually paying for.

Anyone can see a line.
Not everyone knows what it means when it bends.

If You Want to See My Charts It’s Behind the Paywall

The charts — the real ones I’m using — are in the daily missive for paid subscribers.

KR/Gold.
KR/TLT.
KR/SPY.

These aren’t academic toys.
They’re the model I use to tell whether the market is about to change character.

I’ll post them publicly when the signal hits.
But if you want them now, with commentary and alerts as they move, they’re behind the counter.

Five dollars.
That’s it.

The Takeaway

This strategy isn’t complicated.
It isn’t emotional.
It isn’t mystical.

It’s a grocery-store heist executed in slow motion:

Wait until security looks the other way.
Reach out your hand.
Take only what you need.
Walk out calmly.

The ratios will tell you when to act.
And when they do, the trade will be obvious.

Until then?

The smartest move is the hardest move in markets.

Nothing.

Seize the Day (or the Groceries)

Eric